Dredd (2012)

[Kowalsky (formerly JudgeGumpty)]

What is the rating going to be in America ?

[Kowalsky (formerly JudgeGumpty)]

I got it nevermind

[MR. ELIMINATOR]

Predators (2010) was an R and had the same budget. That grossed 120 million, and that film was only OK. Granted Predator is more well known, and was 15 instead of 18, but if Dredd is a good film, I think it will easily make enough for a sequel. I sure hope so.

[radiator]

Predators seems like a fair comparison. It made almost $25m in it's opening US weekend, rounding out at just over $50m. It made an additional $75m worldwide bringing the total to around $125m, and that was a film that had moderate prerelease buzz, but very poor reviews and word of mouth.

If DREDD can match or trump that in financial terms, then we're laughing.

[Kowalsky (formerly JudgeGumpty)]

This is the current R Rated Movie Listing for Box Office Sales in the US in 2012.
The Rank number is overall positioning at the box office with all movies released this year.



   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   

Rank	Movie	Rel.Date	Distrib.	Genre	MPAA	2012 Gross	Tickets
3	Safe House	2/10/2012	Universal	Thriller/Suspense	R	$123,881,780	15,621,914
6	21 Jump Street	3/16/2012	Sony Pictures	Comedy	R	$92,882,690	11,712,823
9	Act of Valor	2/24/2012	Relativity	Action	R	$67,745,400	8,542,926
10	Contraband	1/13/2012	Universal	Action	R	$66,528,000	8,389,407
13	Underworld: Awakening	1/20/2012	Sony Pictures	Action	R	$62,321,039	7,858,895
15	Project X	3/2/2012	Warner Bros.	Comedy	R	$53,354,012	6,728,123
16	]The Devil Inside	1/6/2012	Paramount Pictures	Horror	R	$53,261,944	6,716,512
18	The Grey	1/27/2012	Open Road	Thriller/Suspense	R	$51,475,172	6,491,194
23	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	12/21/2011	Sony Pictures	Thriller/Suspense	R	$42,564,840	5,367,571
24	The Descendants	11/16/2011	Fox Searchlight	Drama	R	$42,120,913	5,311,591
38	Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy	12/9/2011	Focus Features	Thriller/Suspense	R	$19,869,207	2,505,575
39	Haywire	1/20/2012	Relativity	Thriller/Suspense	R	$18,942,396	2,388,701

[radiator]

Slightly misleading - some of those films, such as Girl With the Dragon Tattoo and Tinker Tailor... were released in 2011 so the totals aren't representative.

But looking up and down the list - yeah, these are the sort of films - The Grey, Underworld, Contraband - I see as DREDD's peers rather The Avengers/Batman/Spider-man/Prometheus.

Be interesting to see how DREDD fares internationally - my guess is that's where it'll make most of it's money.

[Kowalsky (formerly JudgeGumpty)]

The magical "$50 million" would that include DVD - BlueRay sales do you think ?

[blackmocco]

Have to say, I'm actually surprised some of those movies finished with that kind of box office. I knew The Grey (awesome movie) was a moderate success made for next-to-nothing but 21 Jump Street aside, the rest of the top 5 are total shockers. They were here and gone ar nos na gaoithe here in La-La land and yet did better than I ever would've thought. Safe House with $123 mil...?! Jesus wept.

Still, goes to show you how tough it's going to be for Dredd. Optimistic though because I think if they can plug into the Rambo/Expendables demographic they'll be laughing. Ironically enough, the Stallone factor may be enough to get some people in if they're curious to see a "reboot" of one of his movies.

Hmm. If only we could get Stallone to plug this version in an interview. Haha! It's the least he owes us.

[radiator]

The magical "$50 million" would that include DVD - BlueRay sales do you think ?

I very much doubt it - I'm pretty sure that is purely the US box office take.

Garland seems to be implying that the US take is key for distributor demand for a sequel, but I don't know whether things would change if, say, it failed to hit the $50m but went on to sell phenomenally well on DVD/BD, or if it made say only $30m US, but raked in $90m internationally....

[blackmocco]

The magical "$50 million" would that include DVD - BlueRay sales do you think ?

Wouldn't think so. They need to see hard numbers as soon as possible for the studios to start frothing at the gash.

[Diminished Responsibility]

Hmm. If only we could get Stallone to plug this version in an interview. Haha! It's the least he owes us.

Don't think Stallone has much choice in the matter, since Lionsgate are almost certain to run trailers for DREDD on Expendables II.


Oh sweet irony 

[James Stacey]

apologies if its been seen before but has this motion poster appeared on the boards ?
pretty cool

http://www.darkhorizons.com/news/24337/-dredd-motion-poster-sdcc-screening

[Steve Green]

Yep - it appeared when they were running the ticket competition.

[MR. ELIMINATOR]

Wouldn't think so. They need to see hard numbers as soon as possible for the studios to start frothing at the gash.

haha!

[Steve Green]

With the talk of Dark Judges, has this guy ever been mentioned?

Javier Boter, seems to specialise in creatures - is in [REC], although I haven't seen it.



6' 4"